The Democratic Party break up
The dust has yet to settle on the 2024 election, yet much is being written about Latino voters and their unexpected support for Trump. As a pollster and expert on Latino voters, I have a few thoughts on their voting behavior in this election.
First, 46% of Latinos did not vote for Trump. As in past elections, the exit polls are widely off the mark when it comes to Latino voters. The best estimates have him winning between 34% to 37% of the Latino vote. While Trump did not win 46% of Latino voters, his share of their vote has dramatically increased since 2016. Based on tracking poll data that I carried out for various Latino organizations since 2016, Trump’s Latino support increased 20-points between 2016 and 2024.
